AI Match Insights

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Serie B Oct 04, 2025

Venezia

Home
VS
13:00

Frosinone

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Venezia Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Frosinone Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.11 - 1.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.5
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Venezia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Frosinone Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Venezia Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Venezia vs Palermo 0-0
Sep 27 Venezia vs Spezia 2-0
Sep 24 Venezia vs Verona 0-0
Sep 20 Venezia vs Cesena 1-2
Sep 13 Venezia vs Pescara 2-2
Sep 05 Venezia vs Rapid Wien 1-1
Aug 30 Venezia vs Juve Stab… 0-0
Aug 24 Venezia vs Bari 2-1
Aug 16 Venezia vs Mantova 4-0
May 25 Venezia vs Juventus 2-3
Frosinone Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Frosinone vs Cesena 3-1
Sep 27 Frosinone vs Mantova 1-5
Sep 23 Frosinone vs Cagliari 4-1
Sep 19 Frosinone vs Sudtirol 2-2
Sep 13 Frosinone vs Padova 0-1
Aug 30 Frosinone vs Palermo 0-0
Aug 24 Frosinone vs Avellino 2-0
Aug 17 Frosinone vs Monza 0-1
Jun 22 Frosinone vs Alianza 0-3
Jun 15 Frosinone vs Alianza 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Frosinone in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 05, 2023 Frosinone 3 - 0 Venezia Serie B
Oct 14, 2022 Venezia 1 - 3 Frosinone Serie B
Aug 15, 2021 Venezia 1 - 1 Frosinone Coppa Italia
Feb 06, 2021 Frosinone 1 - 2 Venezia Serie B
Oct 03, 2020 Venezia 0 - 2 Frosinone Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Venezia to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Venezia Power 47
Frosinone Power 45
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Venezia Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Frosinone Position
Home Win Rate: 91%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.