AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Sep 13, 2025

Bayern Munich

Home
VS
16:30

Hamburger SV

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
Bayern Munich Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
Hamburger SV Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 88%
Market 50%
Combined: 68% Draw Risk: 4%
xG: 3.75 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.2 Position gap: 12 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Bayern Munich Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Hamburger SV Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (17%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Bayern Munich Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 Bayern Mu… vs FC Augsbu… 2-3
Aug 27 Bayern Mu… vs SV Wehen 2-3
Aug 22 Bayern Mu… vs RB Leipzig 6-0
Aug 16 Bayern Mu… vs VfB Stutt… 1-2
Aug 12 Bayern Mu… vs Grasshopp… 1-2
Aug 07 Bayern Mu… vs Tottenham 4-0
Jul 05 Bayern Mu… vs Paris Sai… 2-0
May 17 Bayern Mu… vs 1899 Hoff… 0-4
May 10 Bayern Mu… vs M'gladbach 2-0
May 10 Bayern Mu… vs Borussia … 2-0
Hamburger SV Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 29 Hamburger… vs FC St. Pa… 0-2
Aug 24 Hamburger… vs Borussia … 0-0
Aug 16 Hamburger… vs Pirmasens 1-2
Aug 09 Hamburger… vs Mallorca 2-0
May 18 Hamburger… vs SpVgg Gre… 3-2
May 10 Hamburger… vs SSV Ulm 1… 6-1
May 10 Hamburger… vs Ulm 6-1
May 03 Hamburger… vs SV Darmst… 0-4
Apr 27 Hamburger… vs Karlsruhe… 1-2
Apr 19 Hamburger… vs FC Schalk… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bayern Munich in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Hamburger SV struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

ELITE: Bayern Munich to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 70 vs 29
Bayern Munich Power 70
Hamburger SV Power 29
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Bayern Munich Position

+12

Position Gap

13

Hamburger SV Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.