AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Tweede Divisie Sep 13, 2025

Almere City II

Home
VS
13:30

AFC Amsterdam

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Almere City II Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
AFC Amsterdam Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.20 - 1.11
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.1
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Almere City II Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
AFC Amsterdam Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Almere City II Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 06 Almere Ciā€¦ vs Kozakken ā€¦ 0-3
Aug 30 Almere Ciā€¦ vs Ijsselmeeā€¦ 3-2
Aug 23 Almere Ciā€¦ vs Quick Boys 2-1
Aug 16 Almere Ciā€¦ vs HHC 1-3
Aug 09 Almere Ciā€¦ vs De Treffeā€¦ 4-2
Aug 02 Almere Ciā€¦ vs AFC Amsteā€¦ 3-0
May 24 Almere Ciā€¦ vs Sparta Roā€¦ 3-3
Apr 19 Almere Ciā€¦ vs AFC Amsteā€¦ 2-0
Mar 15 Almere Ciā€¦ vs Excelsiorā€¦ 0-2
Mar 08 Almere Ciā€¦ vs HHC 2-1
AFC Amsterdam Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 06 AFC Amsteā€¦ vs ACV 0-1
Aug 30 AFC Amsteā€¦ vs Kozakken ā€¦ 2-2
Aug 23 AFC Amsteā€¦ vs Ijsselmeeā€¦ 0-2
Aug 16 AFC Amsteā€¦ vs Quick Boys 0-2
Aug 09 AFC Amsteā€¦ vs Spakenburg 3-2
Aug 02 AFC Amsteā€¦ vs Almere Ciā€¦ 3-0
May 24 AFC Amsteā€¦ vs Excelsiorā€¦ 1-1
May 17 AFC Amsteā€¦ vs HHC 0-2
May 10 AFC Amsteā€¦ vs FC Volendā€¦ 2-1
May 03 AFC Amsteā€¦ vs GVVV Veenā€¦ 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Almere City II struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 02, 2025 Almere City II 3 - 0 AFC Amsterdam Friendlies Cluā€¦
Apr 19, 2025 AFC Amsterdam 2 - 0 Almere City II Tweede Divisie
Nov 16, 2024 Almere City II 0 - 2 AFC Amsterdam Tweede Divisie
Aug 03, 2024 AFC Amsterdam 1 - 1 Almere City II Friendlies Cluā€¦
Jan 13, 2024 Almere City II 1 - 5 AFC Amsterdam Tweede Divisie
Aug 19, 2023 AFC Amsterdam 4 - 1 Almere City II Tweede Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Almere City II Power 0
AFC Amsterdam Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Almere City II Position

+3

Position Gap

9

AFC Amsterdam Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.