AI Match Insights
Tweede Divisie Sep 13, 2025
Spakenburg
HomeVS
13:00
Excelsior Maassluis
AwayAI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Spakenburg Win
Draw
Excelsior Maassluis Win
Home Win
(57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
87%
Market
50%
Combined: 67%
Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.39 - 1.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 1.5
Position gap: 11 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Spakenburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Excelsior Maassluis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%)
3-2 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
3-0 (4%)
2-2 (3%)
2-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
Spakenburg Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 06 | Spakenburg vs FC Volend… | 1-3 |
| Aug 30 | Spakenburg vs Hoek | 1-3 |
| Aug 23 | Spakenburg vs Sparta Ro… | 4-4 |
| Aug 16 | Spakenburg vs ACV | 4-0 |
| Aug 09 | Spakenburg vs AFC Amste… | 3-2 |
| Apr 12 | Spakenburg vs Rijnsburg… | 4-1 |
| Apr 05 | Spakenburg vs Sparta Ro… | 3-1 |
| Mar 22 | Spakenburg vs De Treffe… | 1-3 |
| Mar 15 | Spakenburg vs Dordrecht | 2-2 |
| Mar 08 | Spakenburg vs Koninklij… | 3-1 |
Excelsior Maassluis Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 06 | Excelsior… vs Koninklij… | 0-0 |
| Aug 30 | Excelsior… vs Katwijk | 3-2 |
| Aug 23 | Excelsior… vs De Treffe… | 0-1 |
| Aug 16 | Excelsior… vs Rijnsburg… | 5-0 |
| Aug 05 | Excelsior… vs Preston | 2-0 |
| May 24 | Excelsior… vs AFC Amste… | 1-1 |
| May 10 | Excelsior… vs Katwijk | 0-1 |
| Apr 19 | Excelsior… vs De Treffe… | 3-4 |
| Mar 15 | Excelsior… vs Almere Ci… | 0-2 |
| Feb 08 | Excelsior… vs Rijnsburg… | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Spakenburg in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Excelsior Maassluis struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Excelsior Maassluis | 3 - 1 | Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Spakenburg | 4 - 1 | Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Excelsior Maassluis | 1 - 1 | Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Spakenburg | 4 - 2 | Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Excelsior Maassluis | 0 - 2 | Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 04, 2022 | Spakenburg | 0 - 1 | Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
| May 28, 2022 | Excelsior Maassluis | 4 - 0 | Spakenburg | Tweede Divisie |
| Oct 09, 2021 | Spakenburg | 4 - 2 | Excelsior Maassluis | Tweede Divisie |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Spakenburg to win (63% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Spakenburg Power
0
Excelsior Maassluis Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
5
Spakenburg Position+11
Position Gap16
Excelsior Maassluis Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.