AI Match Insights
Serie B Sep 12, 2025
Avellino
HomeVS
18:30
Monza
AwayAI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Avellino Win
Draw
Monza Win
Home Win
(49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
32%
Market
50%
Combined: 48%
Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.45 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.3
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Avellino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Monza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%)
2-0 (13%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (5%)
2-1 (5%)
1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
Avellino Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31 | Avellino vs Modena | 1-1 |
| Aug 24 | Avellino vs Frosinone | 2-0 |
| Aug 10 | Avellino vs Audace Ce… | 1-0 |
| Aug 09 | Avellino vs Udinese | 4-0 |
| Aug 04 | Avellino vs Juve Stab… | 3-1 |
Monza Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31 | Monza vs Bari | 1-1 |
| Aug 23 | Monza vs Mantova | 1-0 |
| Aug 17 | Monza vs Frosinone | 0-1 |
| Aug 12 | Monza vs Inter | 2-2 |
| May 24 | Monza vs AC Milan | 2-0 |
| May 18 | Monza vs Empoli | 1-3 |
| May 13 | Monza vs Cosenza | 0-1 |
| May 11 | Monza vs Udinese | 1-2 |
| May 09 | Monza vs Brescia | 2-2 |
| May 04 | Monza vs Carrarese | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Avellino Power
31
Monza Power
43
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
12
Avellino Position-9
Position Gap3
Monza Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.