AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie D Sep 07, 2025

América-RN

Home
VS
22:00

Santa Cruz RN

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
América-RN Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Santa Cruz RN Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.96 - 0.34
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.3
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
América-RN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Santa Cruz RN Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (16%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 27%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
América-RN Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 América-RN vs Santa Cru… 1-0
Aug 10 América-RN vs Figueiren… 2-0
Aug 03 América-RN vs Figueiren… 1-1
Mar 29 América-RN vs ABC 0-1
Mar 22 América-RN vs ABC 1-1
Mar 15 América-RN vs Santa Cru… 2-0
Mar 09 América-RN vs Santa Cru… 2-1
Feb 26 América-RN vs União Cac… 4-2
Feb 01 América-RN vs Potiguar … 0-1
Jan 25 América-RN vs ABC 1-0
Santa Cruz RN Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 04 Santa Cru… vs Paraty 1-0
Aug 31 Santa Cru… vs Paraty 2-1
Aug 30 Santa Cru… vs América-RN 1-0
Aug 28 Santa Cru… vs Rioverden… 6-2
Aug 24 Santa Cru… vs Santos 0-0
Aug 24 Santa Cru… vs Rioverden… 1-3
Aug 18 Santa Cru… vs Santos 1-1
Aug 10 Santa Cru… vs Vera Cruz 1-1
Jul 20 Santa Cru… vs Rioverden… 4-3
Jul 03 Santa Cru… vs Paraty 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Santa Cruz RN in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 30, 2025 Santa Cruz RN 1 - 0 América-RN Serie D
Mar 15, 2025 América-RN 2 - 0 Santa Cruz RN Potiguar
Mar 09, 2025 Santa Cruz RN 2 - 1 América-RN Potiguar
Final Verdict

STANDARD: América-RN to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
América-RN Power 0
Santa Cruz RN Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.