AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Feb 10, 2026

Stevenage

Home
VS
19:45

Burnley

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Stevenage Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Burnley Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.16 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stevenage Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Burnley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Stevenage Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Stevenage vs Burnley 3-1
Jan 27 Stevenage vs Peterboro… 1-0
Jan 24 Stevenage vs Mansfield… 1-1
Jan 20 Stevenage vs Bolton 0-0
Jan 17 Stevenage vs Exeter Ci… 3-0
Jan 10 Stevenage vs Bolton 2-1
Jan 01 Stevenage vs Plymouth 1-1
Dec 29 Stevenage vs Cardiff 2-1
Dec 26 Stevenage vs AFC Wimbl… 0-0
Dec 20 Stevenage vs Brighton 2-2
Burnley Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Burnley vs Northampt… 2-2
Feb 02 Burnley vs Sunderland 3-0
Jan 31 Burnley vs Stevenage 3-1
Jan 27 Burnley vs Crewe 2-2
Jan 27 Burnley vs Cardiff 4-0
Jan 24 Burnley vs Tottenham 2-2
Jan 24 Burnley vs Reading FC 2-2
Jan 17 Burnley vs Blackpool 2-1
Jan 17 Burnley vs Liverpool 1-1
Jan 12 Burnley vs Liverpool 4-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 31, 2026 Burnley 3 - 1 Stevenage League One
Oct 07, 2025 Stevenage 2 - 1 Burnley EFL Trophy
Jan 25, 2025 Burnley 0 - 1 Stevenage League One
Sep 14, 2024 Stevenage 3 - 0 Burnley League One
Sep 14, 2024 Stevenage 3 - 0 Burnley Pro League
Apr 09, 2024 Stevenage 2 - 1 Burnley Pro League
Apr 09, 2024 Stevenage 2 - 1 Burnley League One
Dec 23, 2023 Burnley 2 - 1 Stevenage Pro League
Dec 23, 2023 Burnley 2 - 1 Stevenage League One
Final Verdict

PRO: Stevenage to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 91
Stevenage Power 36
Burnley Power 25
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.