AI Match Insights
Copa do Nordeste Sep 04, 2025
Confiança
HomeVS
00:30
Bahia
AwayAI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Confiança Win
Draw
Bahia Win
Home Win
(53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 3%
xG: 4.50 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.3
Score Prediction Analysis
Confiança Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Bahia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (4%)
1-0 (4%)
2-1 (2%)
1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
Confiança Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31 | Confiança vs Serrano RJ | 2-3 |
| Aug 30 | Confiança vs Retrô FC … | 1-0 |
| Aug 28 | Confiança vs Spartax | 4-2 |
| Aug 25 | Confiança vs Guaranà C… | 1-0 |
| Aug 23 | Confiança vs São Paulo… | 0-0 |
| Aug 21 | Confiança vs CSA | 0-1 |
| Aug 17 | Confiança vs Floresta | 1-0 |
| Aug 09 | Confiança vs Ituano | 1-2 |
| Aug 04 | Confiança vs Anápolis | 2-0 |
| Jul 27 | Confiança vs São Berna… | 1-1 |
Bahia Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 02 | Bahia vs America M… | 1-3 |
| Aug 31 | Bahia vs Mirassol | 5-1 |
| Aug 28 | Bahia vs Fluminense | 1-0 |
| Aug 26 | Bahia vs Palmeiras | 5-1 |
| Aug 24 | Bahia vs Santos | 2-0 |
| Aug 21 | Bahia vs Ceará | 1-0 |
| Aug 19 | Bahia vs Santos | 3-3 |
| Aug 17 | Bahia vs Corinthia… | 1-2 |
| Aug 16 | Bahia vs Corinthia… | 2-0 |
| Aug 12 | Bahia vs Cuiaba U17 | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Confiança in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Bahia struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Confiança to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Confiança Power
0
Bahia Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.