AI Match Insights

2. Bundesliga Aug 31, 2025

FC Magdeburg

Home
VS
11:30

SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
FC Magdeburg Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 49%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.33 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Magdeburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
FC Magdeburg Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 FC Magdeb… vs Hannover … 3-1
Aug 09 FC Magdeb… vs Dynamo Dr… 1-2
Aug 03 FC Magdeb… vs Eintracht… 0-1
Mar 08 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 1-1
Oct 06 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 2-2
May 10 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 0-0
Dec 09 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 1-1
Mar 18 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 3-0
Sep 11 FC Magdeb… vs SpVgg Gre… 2-1
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 SpVgg Gre… vs Holstein … 0-2
Aug 09 SpVgg Gre… vs Eintracht… 3-2
Aug 03 SpVgg Gre… vs Dynamo Dr… 3-2
May 18 SpVgg Gre… vs Hamburger… 3-2
May 11 SpVgg Gre… vs Hannover … 1-1
May 04 SpVgg Gre… vs Hertha Be… 1-0
May 04 SpVgg Gre… vs Hertha 1-0
Apr 25 SpVgg Gre… vs SSV Ulm 1… 0-1
Apr 25 SpVgg Gre… vs Ulm 0-1
Apr 20 SpVgg Gre… vs Karlsruhe… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 08, 2025 SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth 1 - 1 FC Magdeburg 2. Bundesliga
Oct 06, 2024 FC Magdeburg 2 - 2 SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth 2. Bundesliga
May 10, 2024 FC Magdeburg 0 - 0 SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth 2. Bundesliga
Dec 09, 2023 SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth 1 - 1 FC Magdeburg 2. Bundesliga
Mar 18, 2023 SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth 3 - 0 FC Magdeburg 2. Bundesliga
Sep 11, 2022 FC Magdeburg 2 - 1 SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth 2. Bundesliga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-2 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Magdeburg Power 0
SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Power 51
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

FC Magdeburg Position

+1

Position Gap

18

SpVgg Greuther FĂĽrth Position

Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.