AI Match Insights

Liga Portugal 2 Aug 31, 2025

Vizela

Home
VS
14:30

Oliveirense

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Vizela Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Oliveirense Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.28 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.2 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vizela Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Oliveirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (22%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Vizela Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Vizela vs Portimone… 1-1
Aug 16 Vizela vs FC Porto B 4-0
Aug 09 Vizela vs Pacos Fer… 1-2
Jun 01 Vizela vs AVS 2-2
May 24 Vizela vs AVS 3-0
May 16 Vizela vs MarĂ­timo 1-2
May 11 Vizela vs Académico… 1-1
May 03 Vizela vs FC Porto 0-1
Apr 26 Vizela vs Felgueira… 1-1
Apr 20 Vizela vs Tondela 0-1
Oliveirense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Oliveiren… vs Sporting … 1-0
Aug 17 Oliveiren… vs Penafiel … 0-0
Aug 11 Oliveiren… vs Farense 1-1
Mar 09 Oliveiren… vs Vizela 0-1
Nov 24 Oliveiren… vs Vizela 0-0
Jan 30 Oliveiren… vs Vizela 0-3
Sep 12 Oliveiren… vs Vizela 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 09, 2025 Oliveirense 0 - 1 Vizela Liga Portugal 2
Nov 24, 2024 Vizela 0 - 0 Oliveirense Liga Portugal 2
Jan 30, 2021 Oliveirense 0 - 3 Vizela Liga Portugal 2
Sep 12, 2020 Vizela 2 - 1 Oliveirense Liga Portugal 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Vizela to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 94
Vizela Power 0
Oliveirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Vizela Position

+9

Position Gap

14

Oliveirense Position

Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.