AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Aug 30, 2025

Cesena

Home
VS
19:00

Virtus Entella

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Cesena Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Virtus Entella Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 77%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.54 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.9 Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cesena Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Virtus Entella Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Under 2.5 Goals 56%
Cesena Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 22 Cesena vs Pescara 1-3
Aug 17 Cesena vs Pisa 0-0
Virtus Entella Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Virtus En… vs Juve Stab… 1-1
Aug 16 Virtus En… vs Cagliari 1-1
Aug 09 Virtus En… vs Ternana 4-0
Jul 28 Virtus En… vs Carrarese 0-0
Aug 03 Virtus En… vs Sampdoria 3-1
Apr 02 Virtus En… vs Monza 1-1
Feb 20 Virtus En… vs Venezia 3-2
Feb 14 Virtus En… vs Frosinone 2-3
Dec 15 Virtus En… vs Monza 5-0
Nov 14 Virtus En… vs Venezia 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

PRO: Draw expected (68% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-1 68% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cesena Power 0
Virtus Entella Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Cesena Position

+10

Position Gap

16

Virtus Entella Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.