AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Portugal 2 Aug 30, 2025

Benfica B

Home
VS
17:00

Portimonense

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Benfica B Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Portimonense Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 47%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.49 - 0.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Benfica B Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Portimonense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Benfica B Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 25 Benfica B vs Lusitânia… 1-1
Aug 17 Benfica B vs Leixões SC 1-1
Aug 10 Benfica B vs Chaves 1-1
Portimonense Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Portimone… vs Vizela 1-1
Aug 15 Portimone… vs Feirense 4-1
Aug 09 Portimone… vs Penafiel … 2-1
May 16 Portimone… vs Alverca 2-1
May 11 Portimone… vs FC Porto 0-3
May 03 Portimone… vs Académico… 2-1
Apr 27 Portimone… vs Tondela 2-2
Apr 18 Portimone… vs Pacos Fer… 2-0
Apr 12 Portimone… vs Chaves 2-0
Mar 29 Portimone… vs Vizela 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Portimonense struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Benfica B Power 0
Portimonense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Benfica B Position

+1

Position Gap

13

Portimonense Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.