AI Match Insights

Liga Portugal 2 Aug 30, 2025

Feirense

Home
VS
14:30

Leixões SC

Away
AI Predictions 38.3% Confidence
Feirense Win
38.3%
Draw
26.3%
Leixões SC Win
35.3%
Home Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.13 - 0.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.6 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Feirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Leixões SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
56%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Feirense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Feirense vs MarĂ­timo 1-0
Aug 15 Feirense vs Portimone… 4-1
Aug 10 Feirense vs FC Porto B 0-0
Leixões SC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Leixões SC vs Penafiel … 3-2
Aug 17 Leixões SC vs Benfica B 1-1
Aug 10 Leixões SC vs Felgueira… 3-0
May 14 Leixões SC vs Moreirense 2-0
May 11 Leixões SC vs Moreirense 3-2
May 04 Leixões SC vs Mafra 1-2
Apr 27 Leixões SC vs Penafiel … 3-1
Apr 18 Leixões SC vs Felgueira… 4-0
Apr 05 Leixões SC vs Marítimo 1-1
Mar 16 Leixões SC vs FC Porto 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Leixões SC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Feirense to win (35% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 35% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Feirense Power 0
Leixões SC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Feirense Position

+8

Position Gap

16

Leixões SC Position

Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.