AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa do Brasil Aug 28, 2025

Vasco DA Gama

Home
VS
00:30

Botafogo

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Vasco DA Gama Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Botafogo Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.32 - 2.07
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 2.1
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Vasco DA Gama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-2 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Under 2.5 Goals 23%
Vasco DA Gama Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Vasco DA … vs Corinthia… 2-3
Aug 20 Vasco DA … vs Juventude 2-0
Aug 17 Vasco DA … vs Santos 0-6
Aug 10 Vasco DA … vs Atletico-… 1-1
Aug 07 Vasco DA … vs CSA 3-1
Aug 02 Vasco DA … vs Mirassol 3-2
Jul 30 Vasco DA … vs CSA 0-0
Jul 27 Vasco DA … vs Internaci… 1-1
Jul 19 Vasco DA … vs Remo 1-1
Jul 12 Vasco DA … vs Botafogo 0-2
Botafogo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 27 Botafogo vs Santos 5-3
Aug 25 Botafogo vs Vila Nova 2-0
Aug 24 Botafogo vs Juventude 1-3
Aug 24 Botafogo vs Tombense 1-0
Aug 20 Botafogo vs RB Bragan… 0-2
Aug 18 Botafogo vs Ypiranga-… 2-2
Aug 17 Botafogo vs Palmeiras 0-1
Aug 16 Botafogo vs Remo 1-1
Aug 13 Botafogo vs Juventude 2-2
Aug 10 Botafogo vs Athletico… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Botafogo in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 12, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 0 - 2 Botafogo Serie A
Feb 23, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 0 Botafogo Carioca - 1
Nov 06, 2024 Botafogo 3 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Serie A
Jun 29, 2024 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 1 Botafogo Serie A
Feb 18, 2024 Botafogo 2 - 4 Vasco DA Gama Carioca - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Vasco DA Gama to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Vasco DA Gama Power 0
Botafogo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.