AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Aug 24, 2025

Frosinone

Home
VS
19:00

Avellino

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Frosinone Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Avellino Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 85%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 3.35 - 1.15
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 1.1 Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Frosinone Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Avellino Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Frosinone Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Frosinone vs Monza 0-1
Jun 22 Frosinone vs Alianza 0-3
Jun 15 Frosinone vs Alianza 2-0
May 13 Frosinone vs Sassuolo 0-1
May 09 Frosinone vs Palermo 2-0
May 04 Frosinone vs Cittadella 1-1
May 01 Frosinone vs Pisa 1-0
Apr 25 Frosinone vs Spezia 2-2
Apr 13 Frosinone vs Cosenza 1-1
Apr 05 Frosinone vs Cosenza 2-2
Avellino Form 13.3%
Date Match Result
Aug 10 Avellino vs Audace Ce… 1-0
Aug 09 Avellino vs Udinese 4-0
Aug 04 Avellino vs Juve Stab… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Frosinone in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

PRO: Frosinone to win (74% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 74% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Frosinone Power 45
Avellino Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Frosinone Position

+10

Position Gap

12

Avellino Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.