AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Aug 23, 2025

Accrington ST

Home
VS
14:00

Grimsby

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Accrington ST Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Grimsby Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 63%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.20 - 0.89
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Accrington ST Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Grimsby Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Accrington ST Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Accringto… vs Salford C… 2-1
Aug 12 Accringto… vs Peterboro… 2-1
Aug 09 Accringto… vs Crewe 2-0
Aug 05 Accringto… vs Oldham 3-1
Aug 02 Accringto… vs Birmingham 1-1
May 03 Accringto… vs Chesterfi… 0-1
May 03 Accringto… vs Chesterfi… 0-1
Apr 26 Accringto… vs Walsall 0-1
Apr 26 Accringto… vs Walsall 0-1
Apr 21 Accringto… vs Carlisle 1-1
Grimsby Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 19 Grimsby vs Walsall 0-1
Aug 16 Grimsby vs Newport C… 2-1
Aug 12 Grimsby vs Shrewsbury 3-1
Aug 09 Grimsby vs Harrogate 3-3
Aug 02 Grimsby vs Crawley T… 3-0
May 03 Grimsby vs AFC Wimbl… 0-1
May 03 Grimsby vs AFC Wimbl… 0-1
Apr 26 Grimsby vs Milton Ke… 0-0
Apr 26 Grimsby vs Milton Ke… 0-0
Apr 21 Grimsby vs Port Vale 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Grimsby in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 01, 2025 Accrington ST 3 - 2 Grimsby Pro League
Dec 03, 2024 Grimsby 5 - 2 Accrington ST Pro League
Feb 03, 2024 Accrington ST 0 - 0 Grimsby Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Accrington ST Power 37
Grimsby Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Accrington ST Position

-3

Position Gap

9

Grimsby Position
Home Win Rate: 53%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.