AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Aug 20, 2025

Newport County AFC

Home
VS
18:45

Shrewsbury

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Newport County AFC Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Shrewsbury Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 64%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.31 - 0.93
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Newport County AFC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Shrewsbury Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Newport County AFC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 19 Newport C… vs Watford 0-1
Aug 16 Newport C… vs Barrow 2-1
Aug 16 Newport C… vs Grimsby 2-1
Aug 12 Newport C… vs Millwall 0-1
Aug 09 Newport C… vs Crawley T… 1-2
Aug 09 Newport C… vs Watford 1-2
Aug 02 Newport C… vs Newport C… 1-1
Jul 29 Newport C… vs Barnet 2-2
Jul 19 Newport C… vs Torquay 3-1
May 17 Newport C… vs AFC Wimbl… 1-0
Shrewsbury Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Shrewsbury vs Mancheste… 0-2
Aug 12 Shrewsbury vs Grimsby 3-1
Aug 09 Shrewsbury vs Tranmere … 4-0
Aug 02 Shrewsbury vs Burnley 0-0
Jul 19 Shrewsbury vs Kiddermin… 3-0
May 03 Shrewsbury vs Crawley T… 1-2
Apr 26 Shrewsbury vs Burnley 1-2
Apr 21 Shrewsbury vs Northampt… 4-1
Apr 18 Shrewsbury vs Wigan 0-1
Apr 12 Shrewsbury vs Lincoln 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Newport County AFC struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Shrewsbury struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Newport County AFC to win (50% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 50% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Newport County AFC Power 26
Shrewsbury Power 26
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

23

Newport County AFC Position

-1

Position Gap

22

Shrewsbury Position
Home Win Rate: 14%
Away Win Rate: 7%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.