AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Aug 19, 2025

Fleetwood Town

Home
VS
18:45

Crewe

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Fleetwood Town Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Crewe Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 4.04 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Fleetwood Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Crewe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Fleetwood Town Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Fleetwood… vs Burnley 2-2
Aug 13 Fleetwood… vs Barnsley 2-2
Aug 09 Fleetwood… vs Bristol R… 2-1
Aug 02 Fleetwood… vs Barnet 0-2
May 03 Fleetwood… vs Brentford 1-0
May 03 Fleetwood… vs Brentford 1-0
Apr 26 Fleetwood… vs Newport C… 2-0
Apr 26 Fleetwood… vs Newport C… 2-0
Apr 21 Fleetwood… vs Harrogate 3-1
Apr 21 Fleetwood… vs Harrogate 3-1
Crewe Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Crewe vs Crawley T… 1-0
Aug 12 Crewe vs Stockport… 3-1
Aug 09 Crewe vs Accringto… 2-0
Aug 02 Crewe vs Watford 1-3
May 03 Crewe vs Walsall 0-1
May 03 Crewe vs Walsall 0-1
Apr 26 Crewe vs Tranmere … 2-0
Apr 26 Crewe vs Tranmere … 2-0
Apr 21 Crewe vs Milton Ke… 0-1
Apr 21 Crewe vs Milton Ke… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Crewe in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 04, 2025 Crewe 1 - 4 Fleetwood Town Pro League
Oct 22, 2024 Fleetwood Town 0 - 1 Crewe Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fleetwood Town Power 35
Crewe Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Fleetwood Town Position

-5

Position Gap

10

Crewe Position
Home Win Rate: 43%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.