AI Match Insights
League One Aug 16, 2025
Lincoln
HomeVS
14:00
Plymouth
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Lincoln Win
Draw
Plymouth Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
90%
Market
50%
Combined: 68%
Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 3.61 - 1.07
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 1.1
Position gap: 13 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Lincoln Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Plymouth Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
2-1 (6%)
2-0 (6%)
3-2 (4%)
1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
Lincoln Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12 | Lincoln vs Harrogate | 1-3 |
| Aug 09 | Lincoln vs AFC Wimbl… | 2-0 |
| Aug 02 | Lincoln vs Northampt… | 3-0 |
| Aug 02 | Lincoln vs Reading FC | 2-0 |
| May 03 | Lincoln vs Wrexham | 0-2 |
| Apr 26 | Lincoln vs Stockport | 3-2 |
| Apr 21 | Lincoln vs Bolton | 4-2 |
| Apr 18 | Lincoln vs Reading FC | 0-1 |
| Apr 12 | Lincoln vs Shrewsbury | 1-1 |
| Apr 05 | Lincoln vs Charlton | 2-2 |
Plymouth Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12 | Plymouth vs QPR | 3-2 |
| Aug 09 | Plymouth vs Bolton | 2-0 |
| Aug 02 | Plymouth vs Burnley | 1-3 |
| Jul 23 | Plymouth vs Torquay | 0-6 |
| May 03 | Plymouth vs Leeds | 1-2 |
| Apr 26 | Plymouth vs Preston | 1-2 |
| Apr 21 | Plymouth vs Coventry | 3-1 |
| Apr 18 | Plymouth vs Middlesbr… | 2-1 |
| Apr 12 | Plymouth vs Sheffield… | 2-1 |
| Apr 09 | Plymouth vs Swansea | 3-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Lincoln in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Plymouth struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | Plymouth | 0 - 2 | Lincoln | League One |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Lincoln | 1 - 1 | Plymouth | League One |
| Jan 22, 2022 | Plymouth | 1 - 2 | Lincoln | League One |
| Oct 02, 2021 | Lincoln | 2 - 2 | Plymouth | League One |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Plymouth | 4 - 3 | Lincoln | League One |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Plymouth | 2 - 0 | Lincoln | FA Cup |
| Oct 20, 2020 | Lincoln | 2 - 0 | Plymouth | League One |
Final Verdict
MASTER: Lincoln to win (75% confidence)
MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0
75% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Lincoln Power
42
Plymouth Power
33
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Lincoln Position+13
Position Gap15
Plymouth Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.