AI Match Insights
League One Aug 16, 2025
Cardiff
HomeVS
14:00
Rotherham United
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Cardiff Win
Draw
Rotherham United Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
95%
Market
50%
Combined: 55%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.13 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2
Position gap: 20 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cardiff Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Rotherham United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (29%)
0-0 (25%)
2-0 (16%)
1-1 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
16%
Under 2.5 Goals
84%
Cardiff Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12 | Cardiff vs Swindon T… | 2-1 |
| Aug 07 | Cardiff vs Port Vale | 0-0 |
| Aug 02 | Cardiff vs Peterboro… | 2-1 |
| May 03 | Cardiff vs Norwich C… | 4-2 |
| Apr 26 | Cardiff vs West Brom | 0-0 |
| Apr 21 | Cardiff vs Oxford Un… | 1-1 |
| Apr 18 | Cardiff vs Sheffield… | 2-0 |
| Apr 12 | Cardiff vs Stoke City | 0-1 |
| Apr 08 | Cardiff vs Preston | 2-2 |
| Apr 05 | Cardiff vs QPR | 0-0 |
Rotherham United Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12 | Rotherham… vs Salford C… | 0-0 |
| Aug 09 | Rotherham… vs Stevenage | 1-0 |
| Aug 02 | Rotherham… vs Port Vale | 2-1 |
| May 03 | Rotherham… vs Peterboro… | 2-1 |
| Apr 27 | Rotherham… vs Stevenage | 1-1 |
| Apr 21 | Rotherham… vs Wigan | 1-0 |
| Apr 18 | Rotherham… vs Mansfield… | 3-3 |
| Apr 12 | Rotherham… vs Stockport | 3-1 |
| Apr 08 | Rotherham… vs Bolton | 0-1 |
| Apr 05 | Rotherham… vs Blackpool | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 04, 2024 | Rotherham United | 5 - 2 | Cardiff | Pro League |
| May 04, 2024 | Rotherham United | 5 - 2 | Cardiff | Championship |
Final Verdict
ELITE: Cardiff to win (93% confidence)
ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0
93% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 20
Cardiff Power
43
Rotherham United Power
32
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Cardiff Position+20
Position Gap21
Rotherham United Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 21%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.