AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Aug 16, 2025

Reading FC

Home
VS
14:00

AFC Wimbledon

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Reading FC Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
AFC Wimbledon Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 38%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 0.30 - 1.11
Key Insights
Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Reading FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
AFC Wimbledon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (27%) 0-0 (24%) 0-2 (15%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 0-3 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Reading FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 Reading FC vs Portsmout… 1-2
Aug 09 Reading FC vs Huddersfi… 0-2
Aug 02 Reading FC vs Lincoln 2-0
May 03 Reading FC vs Burnley 2-4
Apr 26 Reading FC vs Bristol C… 0-2
Apr 26 Reading FC vs Bristol R… 0-2
Apr 21 Reading FC vs Mansfield… 1-5
Apr 18 Reading FC vs Lincoln 0-1
Apr 12 Reading FC vs Northampt… 0-0
Apr 08 Reading FC vs Shrewsbury 1-3
AFC Wimbledon Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 AFC Wimbl… vs Gillingham 1-1
Aug 09 AFC Wimbl… vs Lincoln 2-0
Aug 01 AFC Wimbl… vs Bolton 1-0
May 26 AFC Wimbl… vs Walsall 1-0
May 17 AFC Wimbl… vs Newport C… 1-0
May 10 AFC Wimbl… vs Newport C… 0-1
May 03 AFC Wimbl… vs Grimsby 0-1
May 03 AFC Wimbl… vs Grimsby 0-1
Apr 26 AFC Wimbl… vs Port Vale 0-2
Apr 26 AFC Wimbl… vs Port Vale 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • AFC Wimbledon in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Reading FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 08, 2023 Reading FC 0 - 1 AFC Wimbledon Friendlies Clu…
Jul 19, 2022 AFC Wimbledon 0 - 2 Reading FC Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

PRO: Reading FC to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Reading FC Power 37
AFC Wimbledon Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Reading FC Position

+6

Position Gap

16

AFC Wimbledon Position
Home Win Rate: 47%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.