AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Aug 16, 2025

Milton Keynes Dons

Home
VS
14:00

Cheltenham

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Milton Keynes Dons Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Cheltenham Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 84%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.20
Key Insights
Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Milton Keynes Dons Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Cheltenham Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (61%) 1-0 (18%) 0-1 (12%) 1-1 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 0-2 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 5%
Over 2.5 Goals 1%
Under 2.5 Goals 99%
Milton Keynes Dons Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 Milton Ke… vs Bristol C… 2-0
Aug 09 Milton Ke… vs Barrow 0-2
Aug 02 Milton Ke… vs Oldham 0-0
May 03 Milton Ke… vs Swindon 0-0
May 03 Milton Ke… vs Swindon 0-0
Apr 26 Milton Ke… vs Grimsby 0-0
Apr 26 Milton Ke… vs Grimsby 0-0
Apr 21 Milton Ke… vs Crewe 0-1
Apr 21 Milton Ke… vs Crewe 0-1
Apr 18 Milton Ke… vs Newport C… 0-0
Cheltenham Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 22 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 0-1
Nov 16 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 3-2
Apr 15 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 2-2
Oct 29 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 0-0
Aug 30 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 1-2
Mar 08 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 3-1
Sep 04 Cheltenham vs Milton Ke… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 22, 2025 Cheltenham 0 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons League Two
Nov 16, 2024 Milton Keynes Dons 3 - 2 Cheltenham League Two
Apr 15, 2023 Milton Keynes Dons 2 - 2 Cheltenham League One
Oct 29, 2022 Cheltenham 0 - 0 Milton Keynes Dons League One
Aug 30, 2022 Milton Keynes Dons 1 - 2 Cheltenham EFL Trophy
Mar 08, 2022 Milton Keynes Dons 3 - 1 Cheltenham League One
Sep 04, 2021 Cheltenham 1 - 1 Milton Keynes Dons League One
Final Verdict

ELITE: Milton Keynes Dons to win (95% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 95% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 93
  • Power: 44 vs 0
Milton Keynes Dons Power 44
Cheltenham Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Milton Keynes Dons Position

+12

Position Gap

18

Cheltenham Position
Home Win Rate: 53%
Away Win Rate: 21%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.