AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Aug 16, 2025

Brentford

Home
VS
14:00

Bolton

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Brentford Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Bolton Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.16 - 0.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Brentford Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
70%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Brentford Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 Brentford vs Blackburn 1-2
Aug 09 Brentford vs Northampt… 0-0
Aug 08 Brentford vs Borussia … 2-2
Aug 02 Brentford vs Wycombe 2-1
May 25 Brentford vs Wolves 1-1
May 18 Brentford vs Fulham 2-3
May 10 Brentford vs Ipswich 0-1
May 04 Brentford vs Mancheste… 4-3
May 03 Brentford vs Fleetwood… 1-0
May 03 Brentford vs Fleetwood… 1-0
Bolton Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 13 Bolton vs Sheffield… 3-3
Aug 12 Bolton vs Leeds Uni… 4-0
Aug 12 Bolton vs Coventry 1-0
Aug 09 Bolton vs Middlesbr… 2-1
Aug 09 Bolton vs Plymouth 2-0
Aug 09 Bolton vs Peterboro… 0-2
Aug 03 Bolton vs Stockport 2-0
Aug 01 Bolton vs AFC Wimbl… 1-0
Jul 26 Bolton vs Peterboro… 1-0
May 05 Bolton vs Maidenhead 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bolton in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 20, 2024 Bolton 1 - 5 Brentford Pro League
Dec 02, 2023 Brentford 3 - 1 Bolton Pro League
Mar 06, 2021 Brentford 1 - 1 Bolton League Two
Oct 27, 2020 Bolton 1 - 0 Brentford League Two
Sep 05, 2020 Bolton 1 - 2 Brentford League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (28% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 28% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Brentford Power 37
Bolton Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.