AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Aug 16, 2025

Crewe

Home
VS
14:00

Crawley Town

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Crewe Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Crawley Town Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 80%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.72 - 0.44
Key Insights
Position gap: 10 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Crewe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Crawley Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (31%) 1-0 (23%) 0-1 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 89%
Crewe Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 Crewe vs Stockport 3-1
Aug 09 Crewe vs Accringto… 2-0
Aug 02 Crewe vs Watford 1-3
May 03 Crewe vs Walsall 0-1
May 03 Crewe vs Walsall 0-1
Apr 26 Crewe vs Tranmere … 2-0
Apr 26 Crewe vs Tranmere … 2-0
Apr 21 Crewe vs Milton Ke… 0-1
Apr 21 Crewe vs Milton Ke… 0-1
Apr 18 Crewe vs Mancheste… 0-0
Crawley Town Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 12 Crawley T… vs Blackburn… 2-0
Aug 12 Crawley T… vs Swansea 3-1
Aug 09 Crawley T… vs Eastleigh 1-0
Aug 09 Crawley T… vs Newport C… 1-2
Aug 02 Crawley T… vs Grimsby 3-0
May 03 Crawley T… vs Shrewsbury 1-2
Apr 26 Crawley T… vs Northampt… 3-0
Apr 21 Crawley T… vs Exeter Ci… 3-1
Apr 18 Crawley T… vs Birmingham 0-0
Apr 12 Crawley T… vs Leyton Or… 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Crewe struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Crawley Town struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 19, 2024 Crawley Town 2 - 0 Crewe League Two
Feb 10, 2024 Crewe 1 - 0 Crawley Town Pro League
Feb 10, 2024 Crewe 1 - 0 Crawley Town League Two
Oct 21, 2023 Crawley Town 2 - 4 Crewe League Two
Feb 11, 2023 Crawley Town 2 - 2 Crewe League Two
Sep 17, 2022 Crewe 1 - 0 Crawley Town League Two
Final Verdict

PRO: Crewe to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Crewe Power 38
Crawley Town Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Crewe Position

+10

Position Gap

20

Crawley Town Position
Home Win Rate: 53%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.