AI Match Insights
1. Lig Sep 23, 2025
76 Iğdır Belediyespor
HomeVS
17:00
Hatayspor
AwayAI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
76 Iğdır Belediyespor Win
Draw
Hatayspor Win
Home Win
(55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
80%
Market
50%
Combined: 66%
Draw Risk: 16%
xG: 4.50 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
Position gap: 10 places
Score Prediction Analysis
76 Iğdır Belediyespor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Hatayspor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%)
2-0 (6%)
3-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1-0 (3%)
1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
76 Iğdır Belediyespor Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21 | 76 Iğdır … vs Isparta 3… | 0-0 |
| Sep 19 | 76 Iğdır … vs Ümraniyes… | 0-1 |
| Sep 14 | 76 Iğdır … vs Serik Bel… | 1-2 |
| Sep 13 | 76 Iğdır … vs Adana Dem… | 5-1 |
| Sep 07 | 76 Iğdır … vs Arnavutkö… | 1-1 |
| Aug 30 | 76 Iğdır … vs Menemen FK | 0-3 |
| Aug 30 | 76 Iğdır … vs İnegölspor | 2-1 |
| Aug 30 | 76 Iğdır … vs İçel İdma… | 2-0 |
| Aug 30 | 76 Iğdır … vs Manisa FK | 1-1 |
| Aug 24 | 76 Iğdır … vs Hekimoğlu… | 0-0 |
Hatayspor Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19 | Hatayspor vs Boluspor | 2-2 |
| Sep 16 | Hatayspor vs Talasgücü… | 2-3 |
| Sep 12 | Hatayspor vs Erokspor | 4-1 |
| Aug 30 | Hatayspor vs İstanbuls… | 1-1 |
| Aug 24 | Hatayspor vs Ümraniyes… | 1-1 |
| Aug 17 | Hatayspor vs Manisa FK | 2-1 |
| Aug 09 | Hatayspor vs Keçiöreng… | 1-3 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Final Verdict
STANDARD: 76 Iğdır Belediyespor to win (60% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 90
76 Iğdır Belediyespor Power
0
Hatayspor Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
9
76 Iğdır Belediyespor Position+10
Position Gap19
Hatayspor Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.