AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
J1 League Sep 23, 2025

Kashiwa Reysol

Home
VS
10:00

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Kashiwa Reysol Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.38 - 0.83
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kashiwa Reysol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Kashiwa Reysol Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Kashiwa R… vs Cerezo Os… 1-1
Sep 12 Kashiwa R… vs Vissel Ko… 0-0
Sep 07 Kashiwa R… vs Yokohama … 1-0
Sep 03 Kashiwa R… vs Yokohama … 1-4
Aug 31 Kashiwa R… vs Avispa Fu… 2-1
Aug 22 Kashiwa R… vs Urawa 4-2
Aug 17 Kashiwa R… vs Fagiano O… 2-1
Aug 10 Kashiwa R… vs Shonan Be… 2-0
Jul 20 Kashiwa R… vs Kashima 3-2
Jul 05 Kashiwa R… vs FC Tokyo 1-0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 16 Sanfrecce… vs Melbourne… 0-2
Sep 12 Sanfrecce… vs Kyoto San… 1-1
Sep 07 Sanfrecce… vs Shonan Be… 4-1
Sep 03 Sanfrecce… vs Shonan Be… 3-2
Aug 23 Sanfrecce… vs Tokyo Ver… 0-3
Aug 20 Sanfrecce… vs Vissel Ko… 0-1
Aug 16 Sanfrecce… vs Gamba Osa… 1-0
Aug 10 Sanfrecce… vs Shimizu S… 0-0
Jul 20 Sanfrecce… vs Albirex N… 0-2
Jul 05 Sanfrecce… vs Fagiano O… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kashiwa Reysol in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kashiwa Reysol to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kashiwa Reysol Power 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.