AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Oct 17, 2025

Fluminense

Home
VS
00:30

Juventude

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Fluminense Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Juventude Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Fluminense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Juventude Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Fluminense Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 15 Fluminense vs Madureira… 2-3
Oct 11 Fluminense vs Timon MA 0-0
Oct 09 Fluminense vs Mirassol 2-1
Oct 08 Fluminense vs Aparecide… 2-0
Oct 08 Fluminense vs Timon MA 0-0
Oct 04 Fluminense vs Atletico-… 3-0
Oct 01 Fluminense vs Sport Rec… 2-2
Oct 01 Fluminense vs São Luiz 3-1
Sep 30 Fluminense vs Atlético … 3-3
Sep 28 Fluminense vs Botafogo 2-0
Juventude Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 15 Juventude vs Internaci… 3-2
Oct 11 Juventude vs Palmeiras 4-1
Oct 08 Juventude vs Aimoré 1-0
Oct 05 Juventude vs Fortaleza 1-2
Oct 01 Juventude vs São Gabri… 0-0
Oct 01 Juventude vs Atletico-… 0-0
Sep 27 Juventude vs Internaci… 1-1
Sep 24 Juventude vs Brasil de… 1-1
Sep 23 Juventude vs Fortaleza 5-0
Sep 21 Juventude vs Mirassol 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Juventude struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 07, 2025 Fluminense 1 - 0 Juventude Brasileiro U17
May 18, 2025 Juventude 1 - 1 Fluminense Serie A
Aug 08, 2024 Fluminense 2 - 2 Juventude Copa do Brasil
Aug 01, 2024 Juventude 3 - 2 Fluminense Copa do Brasil
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fluminense to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 93
Fluminense Power 0
Juventude Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.