AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Sep 27, 2025

Heart of Midlothian

Home
VS
14:00

Falkirk

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Heart of Midlothian Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Falkirk Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 4.50 - 1.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.2 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Heart of Midlothian Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Falkirk Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Heart of Midlothian Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Heart of … vs Rangers FC 0-2
Aug 30 Heart of … vs Livingston 1-2
Aug 23 Heart of … vs Motherwell 3-3
Aug 16 Heart of … vs St. Mirren 1-1
Aug 10 Heart of … vs Dundee Utd 2-3
Aug 04 Heart of … vs Aberdeen 2-0
Jul 23 Heart of … vs Dumbarton 4-0
Jul 19 Heart of … vs Stirling … 0-4
Jul 15 Heart of … vs Hamilton … 0-4
Jul 12 Heart of … vs Dunfermli… 4-1
Falkirk Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 Falkirk vs Hibernian 2-2
Sep 13 Falkirk vs St. Mirren 1-2
Aug 31 Falkirk vs Aberdeen 0-1
Aug 15 Falkirk vs Celtic 4-1
Aug 09 Falkirk vs Livingston 3-1
Aug 03 Falkirk vs Dundee Utd 2-2
Jul 26 Falkirk vs Spartans 4-0
Jul 22 Falkirk vs Queen's P… 3-1
Jul 19 Falkirk vs Rangers FC 0-0
Jul 12 Falkirk vs Brechin 0-7
Key Analysis Factors
  • Heart of Midlothian in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Falkirk struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 17, 2024 Falkirk 2 - 0 Heart of Midlothian League Cup
Jul 03, 2021 Heart of Midlothian 4 - 0 Falkirk Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Heart of Midlothian to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Heart of Midlothian Power 0
Falkirk Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Heart of Midlothian Position

+5

Position Gap

6

Falkirk Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.