AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Sep 27, 2025

Hamilton Academical

Home
VS
14:00

Stenhousemuir

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Hamilton Academical Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Stenhousemuir Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 39%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 35% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 0.76 - 1.54
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hamilton Academical Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Stenhousemuir Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (15%) 0-2 (12%) 1-1 (12%) 0-0 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Hamilton Academical Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Hamilton … vs St. Mirre… 3-1
Sep 20 Hamilton … vs Kelty Hea… 0-4
Sep 13 Hamilton … vs Peterhead 2-2
Sep 06 Hamilton … vs East Kilb… 2-4
Aug 30 Hamilton … vs Rangers FC 0-0
Aug 27 Hamilton … vs Edinburgh… 2-3
Aug 23 Hamilton … vs Alloa Ath… 1-0
Aug 16 Hamilton … vs East Fife 1-2
Aug 13 Hamilton … vs Motherwel… 0-0
Aug 09 Hamilton … vs Queen of … 1-4
Stenhousemuir Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 23 Stenhouse… vs East Kilb… 3-0
Sep 20 Stenhouse… vs Peterhead 3-1
Sep 13 Stenhouse… vs Kelty Hea… 0-1
Sep 06 Stenhouse… vs Kilmarnoc… 4-0
Aug 30 Stenhouse… vs East Fife 1-1
Aug 26 Stenhouse… vs Alloa Ath… 1-3
Aug 23 Stenhouse… vs Queen of … 0-0
Aug 16 Stenhouse… vs Inverness… 1-2
Aug 12 Stenhouse… vs Rangers U… 2-1
Aug 09 Stenhouse… vs Rangers FC 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hamilton Academical in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Stenhousemuir in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hamilton Academical Power 0
Stenhousemuir Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Hamilton Academical Position

-6

Position Gap

2

Stenhousemuir Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.