AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Sep 27, 2025

Bendel Insurance

Home
VS
15:00

Bayelsa United

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Bendel Insurance Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Bayelsa United Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.17 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bendel Insurance Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
Bayelsa United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (20%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Bendel Insurance Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Bendel In… vs Enyimba 3-2
Sep 13 Bendel In… vs Niger Tor… 1-0
Sep 07 Bendel In… vs Barau FC 1-1
Aug 30 Bendel In… vs Shooting … 1-1
Aug 24 Bendel In… vs Abia Warr… 2-0
Apr 27 Bendel In… vs Plateau U… 2-1
Apr 13 Bendel In… vs Kwara Uni… 0-1
Mar 16 Bendel In… vs Abia Warr… 1-0
Feb 19 Bendel In… vs Abia Warr… 0-0
Feb 16 Bendel In… vs Niger Tor… 3-0
Bayelsa United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Bayelsa U… vs Nasarawa … 1-2
Sep 14 Bayelsa U… vs Enyimba 0-2
Sep 07 Bayelsa U… vs Niger Tor… 1-0
Aug 31 Bayelsa U… vs Barau FC 2-0
Aug 24 Bayelsa U… vs Shooting … 0-1
Apr 27 Bayelsa U… vs Abia Warr… 2-0
Apr 20 Bayelsa U… vs Niger Tor… 1-1
Apr 11 Bayelsa U… vs Shooting … 3-0
Mar 23 Bayelsa U… vs Enyimba 1-1
Feb 02 Bayelsa U… vs Kano Pill… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bayelsa United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bendel Insurance Power 0
Bayelsa United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Bendel Insurance Position

+2

Position Gap

10

Bayelsa United Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.