AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Oct 08, 2025

Kano Pillars

Home
VS
15:00

Kwara United

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Kano Pillars Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Kwara United Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 69%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 4.34 - 0.45
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 0.5
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kano Pillars Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Kwara United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Kano Pillars Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 Kano Pill… vs Abia Warr… 2-1
Sep 14 Kano Pill… vs Enugu Ran… 1-0
Sep 07 Kano Pill… vs Katsina U… 1-0
Aug 31 Kano Pill… vs Wikki Tou… 1-1
Aug 24 Kano Pill… vs Abia Warr… 1-0
May 07 Kano Pill… vs Katsina U… 1-0
Mar 16 Kano Pill… vs Nasarawa … 1-1
Mar 02 Kano Pill… vs Enugu Ran… 2-1
Feb 15 Kano Pill… vs Abia Warr… 1-0
Feb 08 Kano Pill… vs Remo Stars 2-1
Kwara United Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Kwara Uni… vs Abia Warr… 0-1
Oct 02 Kwara Uni… vs Plateau U… 2-1
Sep 28 Kwara Uni… vs Asante Ko… 0-1
Sep 21 Kwara Uni… vs Asante Ko… 4-3
Sep 14 Kwara Uni… vs Warri Wol… 0-0
Sep 07 Kwara Uni… vs Kun Khali… 2-0
Aug 31 Kwara Uni… vs Rivers Un… 1-0
Aug 24 Kwara Uni… vs Ikorodu C… 0-0
May 11 Kwara Uni… vs Rivers Un… 3-1
Apr 13 Kwara Uni… vs Bendel In… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kano Pillars struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Kwara United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kano Pillars to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kano Pillars Power 0
Kwara United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

17

Kano Pillars Position

+1

Position Gap

18

Kwara United Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.