AI Match Insights

NPFL Sep 28, 2025

Kun Khalifat FC

Home
VS
15:00

Barau FC

Away
AI Predictions 48.0% Confidence
Kun Khalifat FC Win
48.0%
Draw
24.4%
Barau FC Win
27.6%
Home Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kun Khalifat FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Barau FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Kun Khalifat FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Kun Khali… vs Shooting … 2-1
Sep 14 Kun Khali… vs Abia Warr… 3-1
Sep 07 Kun Khali… vs Kwara Uni… 2-0
Sep 01 Kun Khali… vs Remo Stars 1-2
Aug 24 Kun Khali… vs Enugu Ran… 0-0
Barau FC Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Barau FC vs Ikorodu C… 2-0
Sep 07 Barau FC vs Bendel In… 1-1
Aug 31 Barau FC vs Bayelsa U… 2-0
Aug 24 Barau FC vs Enyimba 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kun Khalifat FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Kun Khalifat FC to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kun Khalifat FC Power 0
Barau FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

20

Kun Khalifat FC Position

-4

Position Gap

16

Barau FC Position

Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.