AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda División Sep 28, 2025

Atenas

Home
VS
00:15

Tacuarembó

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Atenas Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Tacuarembó Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.73 - 0.87
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.9
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atenas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Tacuarembó Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 0-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Atenas Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Atenas vs Rentistas… 2-0
Sep 13 Atenas vs La Luz 2-3
Sep 06 Atenas vs Cerrito 0-3
Aug 30 Atenas vs Colón 1-1
Aug 23 Atenas vs Deportivo… 0-1
Aug 20 Atenas vs Oriental 1-2
Aug 16 Atenas vs Uruguay M… 1-2
Aug 10 Atenas vs Albion FC 0-1
Aug 03 Atenas vs Fenix 1-0
Jul 27 Atenas vs Rampla Ju… 1-2
Tacuarembó Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Tacuarembó vs Peñarol M… 1-2
Sep 20 Tacuarembó vs Central E… 0-0
Sep 14 Tacuarembó vs Artigas 1-1
Sep 07 Tacuarembó vs Rentistas… 3-1
Aug 30 Tacuarembó vs La Luz 1-1
Aug 24 Tacuarembó vs Cerrito 1-1
Aug 20 Tacuarembó vs Colón 2-2
Aug 15 Tacuarembó vs Deportivo… 2-0
Aug 10 Tacuarembó vs Oriental 1-1
Aug 03 Tacuarembó vs Uruguay M… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 05, 2025 Tacuarembó 1 - 0 Atenas Segunda Divisi…
May 04, 2025 Tacuarembó 1 - 0 Atenas Segunda Divisi…
Sep 08, 2024 Atenas 1 - 0 Tacuarembó Segunda Divisi…
May 26, 2024 Tacuarembó 2 - 0 Atenas Segunda Divisi…
Oct 15, 2023 Atenas 1 - 0 Tacuarembó Segunda Divisi…
May 28, 2023 Tacuarembó 1 - 1 Atenas Segunda Divisi…
Oct 16, 2020 Tacuarembó 0 - 0 Atenas Segunda Divisi…
Aug 13, 2020 Atenas 1 - 0 Tacuarembó Segunda Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atenas to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atenas Power 0
Tacuarembó Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.