AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Oct 26, 2025

Padova

Home
VS
14:00

Juve Stabia

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Padova Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Juve Stabia Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.37 - 1.05
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.1
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Padova Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Juve Stabia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Padova Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Padova vs Catanzaro 0-1
Oct 04 Padova vs Bari 2-1
Sep 30 Padova vs Avellino 2-2
Sep 27 Padova vs Monza 0-1
Sep 21 Padova vs Virtus En… 2-1
Sep 13 Padova vs Frosinone 0-1
Aug 31 Padova vs Carrarese 0-0
Aug 23 Padova vs Empoli 3-1
Aug 10 Padova vs Vicenza V… 0-2
Aug 04 Padova vs Cosenza 3-1
Juve Stabia Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 18 Juve Stab… vs Avellino 2-0
Oct 05 Juve Stab… vs Carrarese 3-0
Sep 30 Juve Stab… vs Mantova 2-1
Sep 26 Juve Stab… vs Catanzaro 2-2
Sep 20 Juve Stab… vs Spezia 1-3
Sep 13 Juve Stab… vs Reggiana … 0-0
Aug 30 Juve Stab… vs Venezia 0-0
Aug 23 Juve Stab… vs Virtus En… 1-1
Aug 15 Juve Stab… vs Lecce 2-0
May 25 Juve Stab… vs Cremonese 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Padova in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Juve Stabia in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Padova Power 32
Juve Stabia Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Padova Position

-6

Position Gap

7

Juve Stabia Position
Home Win Rate: 18%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.