AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Oct 25, 2025

Cremonese

Home
VS
18:45

Atalanta

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Cremonese Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Atalanta Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.46 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cremonese Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Atalanta Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (18%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Cremonese Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 Cremonese vs Udinese 1-1
Oct 04 Cremonese vs Inter 4-1
Sep 27 Cremonese vs Como 1-1
Sep 21 Cremonese vs Parma 0-0
Sep 15 Cremonese vs Verona 0-0
Aug 29 Cremonese vs Sassuolo 3-2
Aug 23 Cremonese vs AC Milan 1-2
Aug 16 Cremonese vs Palermo 0-0
Jul 26 Cremonese vs Torino 4-1
Jun 01 Cremonese vs Spezia 2-3
Atalanta Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 22 Atalanta vs Slavia Pr… 0-0
Oct 19 Atalanta vs Lazio 0-0
Oct 18 Atalanta vs DC United 1-1
Oct 14 Atalanta vs Jordan 4-2
Oct 11 Atalanta vs Inter 4-0
Oct 11 Atalanta vs Serbia 0-1
Oct 06 Atalanta vs Los Angel… 1-0
Oct 04 Atalanta vs Como 1-1
Sep 30 Atalanta vs Club Brug… 2-1
Sep 27 Atalanta vs Juventus 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cremonese Power 30
Atalanta Power 40
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

15

Cremonese Position

-8

Position Gap

7

Atalanta Position
Home Win Rate: 18%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.