AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie C Jul 12, 2025

AO Itabaiana

Home
VS
20:00

Confiança

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
AO Itabaiana Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Confiança Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.60 - 0.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.3
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AO Itabaiana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
20%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Confiança Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
AO Itabaiana Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 06 AO Itabai… vs Anápolis 1-0
Jun 30 AO Itabai… vs Botafogo 1-0
Jun 15 AO Itabai… vs Guaraní C… 2-1
May 31 AO Itabai… vs Floresta 1-0
May 24 AO Itabai… vs Caxias 2-1
May 18 AO Itabai… vs Retrô FC … 1-0
May 12 AO Itabai… vs Figueiren… 1-1
May 03 AO Itabai… vs Tombense 2-0
Apr 27 AO Itabai… vs São Berna… 0-1
Apr 19 AO Itabai… vs Ypiranga-… 3-2
Confiança Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 05 Confiança vs ABC 1-1
Jun 29 Confiança vs Figueiren… 1-1
Jun 15 Confiança vs Ypiranga-… 1-0
Jun 07 Confiança vs Figueiren… 0-0
Jun 01 Confiança vs Brusque 4-1
May 24 Confiança vs CSA 0-0
May 19 Confiança vs Londrina 0-2
May 10 Confiança vs Nautico R… 2-0
May 03 Confiança vs Maringá 3-2
Apr 26 Confiança vs Ponte Pre… 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • AO Itabaiana struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AO Itabaiana to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AO Itabaiana Power 0
Confiança Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.