AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Capixaba B Oct 15, 2024

Desportiva ES

Home
VS
18:00

Capixaba SC

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Desportiva ES Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Capixaba SC Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.43 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Desportiva ES Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Capixaba SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (20%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Desportiva ES Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 13 Desportiv… vs Tupi 4-3
Oct 05 Desportiv… vs GEL 0-3
Sep 21 Desportiv… vs Castelo 0-1
Sep 18 Desportiv… vs Capixaba … 7-0
Sep 15 Desportiv… vs Tupi 3-0
Sep 07 Desportiv… vs GEL 1-0
Aug 17 Desportiv… vs Vilavelhe… 3-0
Aug 10 Desportiv… vs Real Noro… 1-2
Aug 02 Desportiv… vs Porto Vit… 1-0
Jul 30 Desportiv… vs Rio Branc… 1-0
Capixaba SC Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 08 Capixaba … vs GEL 4-0
Sep 27 Capixaba … vs Castelo 1-2
Sep 25 Capixaba … vs Tupi 0-0
Sep 18 Capixaba … vs Desportiv… 7-0
Sep 15 Capixaba … vs GEL 0-2
Aug 15 Capixaba … vs Rio Branc… 0-0
Aug 12 Capixaba … vs Porto Vit… 0-3
Jul 28 Capixaba … vs Vilavelhe… 1-0
Jul 20 Capixaba … vs Vilavelhe… 2-1
Jul 05 Capixaba … vs Porto Vit… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Capixaba SC in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Desportiva ES struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 18, 2024 Capixaba SC 7 - 0 Desportiva ES Capixaba B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Desportiva ES to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Desportiva ES Power 0
Capixaba SC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.