AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Oct 26, 2025

Osasuna

Home
VS
17:30

Celta de Vigo

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Osasuna Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Celta de Vigo Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.64 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.3
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Osasuna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Celta de Vigo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 3-0 (16%) 1-0 (14%) 2-1 (6%) 0-0 (5%) 3-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Osasuna Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 18 Osasuna vs Atlético … 1-0
Oct 03 Osasuna vs Getafe 2-1
Sep 28 Osasuna vs Real Betis 2-0
Sep 25 Osasuna vs Elche 1-1
Sep 20 Osasuna vs Villarreal 2-1
Sep 14 Osasuna vs Rayo Vall… 2-0
Aug 31 Osasuna vs Espanyol 1-0
Aug 24 Osasuna vs Valencia 1-0
Aug 19 Osasuna vs Real Madr… 1-0
Aug 09 Osasuna vs SC Freibu… 2-2
Celta de Vigo Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 23 Celta de … vs Nice 2-1
Oct 19 Celta de … vs Real Soci… 1-1
Oct 05 Celta de … vs Atlético … 1-1
Oct 02 Celta de … vs PAOK 3-1
Sep 28 Celta de … vs Elche 2-1
Sep 25 Celta de … vs VfB Stutt… 2-1
Sep 21 Celta de … vs Rayo Vall… 1-1
Sep 14 Celta de … vs Girona 1-1
Aug 31 Celta de … vs Villarreal 1-1
Aug 27 Celta de … vs Real Betis 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Osasuna struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 21, 2025 Celta de Vigo 1 - 0 Osasuna La Liga
Sep 01, 2024 Osasuna 3 - 2 Celta de Vigo La Liga
Feb 04, 2024 Osasuna 0 - 3 Celta de Vigo La Liga
Aug 13, 2023 Celta de Vigo 0 - 2 Osasuna La Liga
Mar 06, 2023 Osasuna 0 - 0 Celta de Vigo La Liga
Nov 05, 2022 Celta de Vigo 1 - 2 Osasuna La Liga
Jan 19, 2022 Celta de Vigo 2 - 0 Osasuna La Liga
Aug 23, 2021 Osasuna 0 - 0 Celta de Vigo La Liga
Apr 25, 2021 Celta de Vigo 2 - 1 Osasuna La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Osasuna Power 35
Celta de Vigo Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Osasuna Position

-2

Position Gap

7

Celta de Vigo Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.