AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Birinci Dəstə Oct 02, 2025

Safa Baku

Home
VS
11:00

MOIK

Away
AI Predictions 59.5% Confidence
Safa Baku Win
59.5%
Draw
22.1%
MOIK Win
18.4%
Home Win (60% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.48 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Safa Baku Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
MOIK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (20%) 0-0 (18%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Under 2.5 Goals 76%
Safa Baku Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Safa Baku vs Cəbrayıl 3-0
Sep 18 Safa Baku vs Zaqatala 0-4
Sep 12 Safa Baku vs Åžimal 2-0
Oct 30 Safa Baku vs Difai AÄŸsu 2-3
MOIK Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 25 MOIK vs Zaqatala 0-1
Sep 19 MOIK vs Åžimal 1-1
Sep 11 MOIK vs ÅžahdaÄŸ 1-2
May 16 MOIK vs Energetik 1-3
May 02 MOIK vs Qabala 1-0
Apr 10 MOIK vs Cəbrayıl 2-1
Mar 27 MOIK vs Difai AÄŸsu 1-3
Mar 14 MOIK vs Energetik 1-0
Feb 28 MOIK vs Qabala 0-0
Feb 06 MOIK vs Cəbrayıl 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Safa Baku in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • MOIK struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Safa Baku to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Safa Baku Power 0
MOIK Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Safa Baku Position

+5

Position Gap

6

MOIK Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.