AI Match Insights
Challenge League Oct 03, 2025
FC Aarau
HomeVS
18:15
Yverdon Sport
AwayAI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
FC Aarau Win
Draw
Yverdon Sport Win
Home Win
(55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
64%
Market
50%
Combined: 43%
Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.05 - 0.84
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Aarau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Yverdon Sport Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%)
0-0 (15%)
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (13%)
2-0 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
Under 2.5 Goals
71%
FC Aarau Form 20.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | FC Aarau vs Étoile Ca… | 1-3 |
| Sep 20 | FC Aarau vs BSC Young… | 1-0 |
| Sep 13 | FC Aarau vs FC Vaduz | 1-0 |
| Aug 29 | FC Aarau vs Rapperswil | 0-1 |
| Aug 25 | FC Aarau vs Stade Lau… | 3-0 |
| Aug 22 | FC Aarau vs Stade Nyo… | 4-5 |
| Aug 14 | FC Aarau vs Lausanne | 0-2 |
| Aug 13 | FC Aarau vs Bellinzona | 1-0 |
| Aug 10 | FC Aarau vs Al-Ahli S… | 0-6 |
| Aug 09 | FC Aarau vs Neuchâtel… | 2-0 |
Yverdon Sport Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | Yverdon S… vs Stade Nyo… | 1-0 |
| Sep 20 | Yverdon S… vs Servette … | 1-0 |
| Sep 12 | Yverdon S… vs Étoile Ca… | 2-1 |
| Aug 31 | Yverdon S… vs Neuchâtel… | 3-1 |
| Aug 26 | Yverdon S… vs Bellinzona | 0-0 |
| Aug 22 | Yverdon S… vs FC WIL 19… | 4-0 |
| Aug 08 | Yverdon S… vs Rapperswil | 0-3 |
| Aug 03 | Yverdon S… vs Stade Lau… | 3-2 |
| Jul 27 | Yverdon S… vs FC Vaduz | 2-1 |
| May 22 | Yverdon S… vs FC Zurich | 3-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- FC Aarau in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
- Yverdon Sport in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2023 | Yverdon Sport | 1 - 1 | FC Aarau | Challenge Leag… |
| Feb 10, 2023 | FC Aarau | 1 - 2 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge Leag… |
| Nov 04, 2022 | FC Aarau | 3 - 2 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge Leag… |
| Sep 30, 2022 | Yverdon Sport | 2 - 2 | FC Aarau | Challenge Leag… |
| May 06, 2022 | Yverdon Sport | 0 - 4 | FC Aarau | Challenge Leag… |
| Mar 19, 2022 | FC Aarau | 0 - 2 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge Leag… |
| Nov 06, 2021 | FC Aarau | 1 - 0 | Yverdon Sport | Challenge Leag… |
| Sep 10, 2021 | Yverdon Sport | 1 - 1 | FC Aarau | Challenge Leag… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: FC Aarau to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
FC Aarau Power
0
Yverdon Sport Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
FC Aarau Position+1
Position Gap3
Yverdon Sport Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.