AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Challenge League Oct 03, 2025

Neuchâtel Xamax

Home
VS
17:30

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Neuchâtel Xamax Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.65 - 1.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.3
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Neuchâtel Xamax Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Neuchâtel Xamax Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 26 Neuchâtel… vs Rapperswil 1-3
Sep 12 Neuchâtel… vs FC WIL 19… 3-1
Aug 31 Neuchâtel… vs Yverdon S… 3-1
Aug 25 Neuchâtel… vs FC Vaduz 1-1
Aug 22 Neuchâtel… vs Étoile Ca… 2-1
Aug 09 Neuchâtel… vs FC Aarau 2-0
Aug 02 Neuchâtel… vs Bellinzona 1-5
Jul 25 Neuchâtel… vs Stade Nyo… 1-1
May 23 Neuchâtel… vs FC WIL 19… 2-3
May 16 Neuchâtel… vs Stade Nyo… 1-3
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Stade Lau… vs FC Vaduz 1-1
Sep 12 Stade Lau… vs Stade Nyo… 1-2
Aug 30 Stade Lau… vs Étoile Ca… 2-0
Aug 25 Stade Lau… vs FC Aarau 3-0
Aug 22 Stade Lau… vs Rapperswil 1-2
Aug 16 Stade Lau… vs Vevey Spo… 0-2
Aug 09 Stade Lau… vs Bellinzona 2-2
Aug 03 Stade Lau… vs Yverdon S… 3-2
Jul 26 Stade Lau… vs FC WIL 19… 1-1
May 23 Stade Lau… vs FC Vaduz 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Neuchâtel Xamax in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Stade Lausanne-Ouchy in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 18, 2025 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0 - 0 Neuchâtel Xamax Challenge Leag…
Jan 24, 2025 Neuchâtel Xamax 1 - 2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Challenge Leag…
Nov 29, 2024 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 1 - 2 Neuchâtel Xamax Challenge Leag…
Jul 19, 2024 Neuchâtel Xamax 3 - 2 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Challenge Leag…
May 05, 2023 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2 - 0 Neuchâtel Xamax Challenge Leag…
Apr 02, 2023 Neuchâtel Xamax 1 - 1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Challenge Leag…
Jan 11, 2023 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2 - 2 Neuchâtel Xamax Friendlies Clu…
Nov 11, 2022 Neuchâtel Xamax 2 - 1 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Challenge Leag…
Sep 03, 2022 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2 - 1 Neuchâtel Xamax Challenge Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Neuchâtel Xamax Power 0
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Neuchâtel Xamax Position

-1

Position Gap

4

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.