AI Match Insights

Birinci Dəstə Oct 03, 2025

Cəbrayıl

Home
VS
11:00

Difai Ağsu

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Cəbrayıl Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Difai Ağsu Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.66 - 1.80
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cəbrayıl Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Difai Ağsu Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (9%) 1-2 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 2-2 (7%) 0-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Cəbrayıl Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Cəbrayıl vs Safa Baku 3-0
Sep 17 Cəbrayıl vs Energetik 1-3
Sep 11 Cəbrayıl vs Zaqatala 1-0
May 16 Cəbrayıl vs Difai Ağsu 1-1
Apr 17 Cəbrayıl vs Energetik 2-0
Apr 10 Cəbrayıl vs MOIK 2-1
Mar 13 Cəbrayıl vs Difai Ağsu 0-4
Feb 13 Cəbrayıl vs Energetik 0-0
Feb 06 Cəbrayıl vs MOIK 2-1
Oct 24 Cəbrayıl vs Energetik 3-0
Difai Ağsu Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 24 Difai Ağsu vs Energetik 2-0
Sep 18 Difai Ağsu vs Səbail FK 1-2
Sep 13 Difai Ağsu vs Baku Spor… 2-2
May 16 Difai Ağsu vs Cəbrayıl 1-1
May 01 Difai Ağsu vs Energetik 1-4
Apr 17 Difai Ağsu vs Qabala 1-0
Mar 27 Difai Ağsu vs MOIK 1-3
Mar 13 Difai Ağsu vs Cəbrayıl 0-4
Feb 28 Difai Ağsu vs Energetik 1-0
Feb 14 Difai Ağsu vs Qabala 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cəbrayıl struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Difai Ağsu struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 16, 2025 Difai Ağsu 1 - 1 Cəbrayıl Birinci Dəstə
Mar 13, 2025 Cəbrayıl 0 - 4 Difai Ağsu Birinci Dəstə
Sep 12, 2024 Difai Ağsu 0 - 1 Cəbrayıl Birinci Dəstə
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cəbrayıl Power 0
Difai Ağsu Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Cəbrayıl Position

+2

Position Gap

9

Difai Ağsu Position

Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.