AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two Oct 04, 2025

Stranraer

Home
VS
14:00

Annan Athletic

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Stranraer Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Annan Athletic Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.58 - 0.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.3
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stranraer Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Annan Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (15%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Stranraer Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Stranraer vs Dumbarton 1-2
Sep 23 Stranraer vs Motherwel… 3-0
Sep 20 Stranraer vs Elgin City 1-1
Sep 13 Stranraer vs Spartans 0-2
Sep 06 Stranraer vs Kelty Hea… 3-0
Aug 30 Stranraer vs Stirling … 1-0
Aug 26 Stranraer vs Rangers U… 4-1
Aug 23 Stranraer vs Clyde 1-1
Aug 16 Stranraer vs East Kilb… 3-1
Aug 12 Stranraer vs Alloa Ath… 2-1
Annan Athletic Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Annan Ath… vs East Kilb… 3-1
Sep 23 Annan Ath… vs Rangers U… 4-3
Sep 20 Annan Ath… vs Forfar At… 1-0
Sep 13 Annan Ath… vs Clyde 0-6
Sep 06 Annan Ath… vs St. Mirre… 2-2
Aug 30 Annan Ath… vs Spartans 1-0
Aug 26 Annan Ath… vs Stenhouse… 1-3
Aug 23 Annan Ath… vs Dumbarton 3-4
Aug 16 Annan Ath… vs Edinburgh… 2-2
Aug 12 Annan Ath… vs Kelty Hea… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stranraer Power 0
Annan Athletic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Stranraer Position

+3

Position Gap

7

Annan Athletic Position
Home Win Rate: 20%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.