AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Oct 02, 2025

Kwara United

Home
VS
15:00

Plateau United

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Kwara United Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Plateau United Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.17 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Kwara United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
11%
Plateau United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (20%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Kwara United Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Kwara Uni… vs Asante Ko… 0-1
Sep 21 Kwara Uni… vs Asante Ko… 4-3
Sep 14 Kwara Uni… vs Warri Wol… 0-0
Sep 07 Kwara Uni… vs Kun Khali… 2-0
Aug 31 Kwara Uni… vs Rivers Un… 1-0
Aug 24 Kwara Uni… vs Ikorodu C… 0-0
May 11 Kwara Uni… vs Rivers Un… 3-1
Apr 13 Kwara Uni… vs Bendel In… 0-1
Mar 26 Kwara Uni… vs Nasarawa … 1-0
Feb 09 Kwara Uni… vs Ikorodu C… 2-1
Plateau United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 27 Plateau U… vs Abia Warr… 1-0
Sep 14 Plateau U… vs Remo Stars 2-0
Sep 07 Plateau U… vs Enugu Ran… 2-0
Aug 31 Plateau U… vs Katsina U… 1-2
Aug 24 Plateau U… vs Wikki Tou… 1-0
Apr 27 Plateau U… vs Bendel In… 2-1
Mar 27 Plateau U… vs Enugu Ran… 0-1
Mar 09 Plateau U… vs Abia Warr… 1-0
Mar 02 Plateau U… vs Remo Stars 1-0
Jan 30 Plateau U… vs Katsina U… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kwara United struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Plateau United struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Kwara United Power 0
Plateau United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Kwara United Position

-3

Position Gap

15

Plateau United Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.