AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Nov 01, 2025

Real Sociedad

Home
VS
17:30

Athletic Club

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Real Sociedad Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Athletic Club Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 2.22 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Sociedad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Athletic Club Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (20%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Real Sociedad Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 28 Real Soci… vs SD Negrei… 0-3
Oct 24 Real Soci… vs Sevilla FC 2-1
Oct 19 Real Soci… vs Celta de … 1-1
Oct 05 Real Soci… vs Rayo Vall… 0-1
Sep 28 Real Soci… vs Barcelona 2-1
Sep 24 Real Soci… vs Mallorca 1-0
Sep 19 Real Soci… vs Real Betis 3-1
Sep 13 Real Soci… vs Real Madr… 1-2
Aug 30 Real Soci… vs Oviedo 1-0
Aug 24 Real Soci… vs Espanyol 2-2
Athletic Club Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 25 Athletic … vs Getafe 0-1
Oct 22 Athletic … vs Qarabağ FK 3-1
Oct 19 Athletic … vs Elche 0-0
Oct 04 Athletic … vs Mallorca 2-1
Oct 01 Athletic … vs Borussia … 4-1
Sep 27 Athletic … vs Villarreal 1-0
Sep 23 Athletic … vs Girona 1-1
Sep 20 Athletic … vs Valencia 2-0
Sep 16 Athletic … vs Arsenal 0-2
Sep 13 Athletic … vs Alavés 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 04, 2025 Real Sociedad 0 - 0 Athletic Club La Liga
Nov 24, 2024 Athletic Club 1 - 0 Real Sociedad La Liga
Jan 13, 2024 Athletic Club 2 - 1 Real Sociedad La Liga
Sep 30, 2023 Real Sociedad 3 - 0 Athletic Club La Liga
Apr 15, 2023 Athletic Club 2 - 0 Real Sociedad La Liga
Jan 14, 2023 Real Sociedad 3 - 1 Athletic Club La Liga
Aug 05, 2022 Athletic Club 1 - 0 Real Sociedad Friendlies Clu…
Feb 20, 2022 Athletic Club 4 - 0 Real Sociedad La Liga
Oct 31, 2021 Real Sociedad 1 - 1 Athletic Club La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Sociedad Power 35
Athletic Club Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Real Sociedad Position

+3

Position Gap

11

Athletic Club Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.