AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 3 Nov 02, 2025

Trofense

Home
VS
15:00

Amarante

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Trofense Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Amarante Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 4.50 - 1.11
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.1
Score Prediction Analysis
Trofense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Amarante Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Trofense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 25 Trofense vs AD Marco … 1-1
Oct 11 Trofense vs Varzim 2-1
Oct 04 Trofense vs Sanjoanen… 1-2
Sep 28 Trofense vs Guimaraes… 1-2
Sep 21 Trofense vs Vianense 2-3
Sep 13 Trofense vs Fafe 5-1
Aug 30 Trofense vs Varzim 5-1
Aug 23 Trofense vs Paredes 0-0
Aug 16 Trofense vs SC Braga B 2-0
Aug 09 Trofense vs São João … 0-0
Amarante Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Amarante vs Paredes 1-0
Oct 19 Amarante vs Leixões SC 1-2
Oct 10 Amarante vs Fafe 3-0
Oct 05 Amarante vs SC Braga B 1-0
Sep 28 Amarante vs São João … 2-2
Sep 21 Amarante vs União San… 2-0
Sep 14 Amarante vs AD Marco … 1-0
Aug 31 Amarante vs Tirsense 1-2
Aug 24 Amarante vs Sanjoanen… 0-0
Aug 17 Amarante vs Guimaraes… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Amarante struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 10, 2024 Trofense 1 - 0 Amarante Liga 3
Aug 11, 2024 Amarante 1 - 0 Trofense Liga 3
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Trofense Power 0
Amarante Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Trofense Position

-2

Position Gap

2

Amarante Position
Home Win Rate: 39%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.