AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga 3 Nov 02, 2025

Paredes

Home
VS
15:00

São João Ver

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Paredes Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
São João Ver Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.15 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.7
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paredes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
São João Ver Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Paredes Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Paredes vs Amarante 1-0
Oct 05 Paredes vs AD Marco … 2-0
Sep 28 Paredes vs Sanjoanen… 2-2
Sep 24 Paredes vs Guimaraes… 1-1
Sep 20 Paredes vs Chaves 0-2
Sep 12 Paredes vs Varzim 2-2
Aug 23 Paredes vs Trofense 0-0
Aug 17 Paredes vs Fafe 1-1
Aug 08 Paredes vs SC Braga B 1-0
Oct 20 Paredes vs São João … 4-1
São João Ver Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 25 São João … vs SC Braga B 1-0
Oct 18 São João … vs Famalicao 0-3
Oct 05 São João … vs Fafe 2-0
Sep 28 São João … vs Amarante 2-2
Sep 24 São João … vs AD Marco … 0-0
Sep 21 São João … vs Vasco da … 6-2
Sep 13 São João … vs Sanjoanen… 2-2
Aug 24 São João … vs Guimaraes… 0-2
Aug 16 São João … vs Varzim 4-0
Aug 09 São João … vs Trofense 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 20, 2024 São João Ver 4 - 1 Paredes Taça de Portug…
Mar 04, 2023 São João Ver 1 - 1 Paredes Liga 3
Nov 26, 2022 Paredes 0 - 0 São João Ver Liga 3
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paredes Power 0
São João Ver Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Paredes Position

+4

Position Gap

9

São João Ver Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.