AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Santa Catarina Oct 13, 2025

Joinville

Home
VS
22:30

Blumenau

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Joinville Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Blumenau Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.94 - 1.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.4
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Joinville Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Blumenau Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-0 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Joinville Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 07 Joinville vs Nação 0-1
Oct 01 Joinville vs Carlos Re… 2-0
Sep 21 Joinville vs Carlos Re… 4-2
Sep 14 Joinville vs Nação 0-0
Sep 07 Joinville vs Blumenau 2-0
Jul 20 Joinville vs São José … 0-2
Mar 09 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 2-1
Mar 02 Joinville vs Criciúma 0-0
Feb 22 Joinville vs Chapecoen… 1-1
Feb 16 Joinville vs Santa Cat… 4-3
Blumenau Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Blumenau vs Carlos Re… 2-1
Sep 28 Blumenau vs Nação 5-1
Sep 23 Blumenau vs Nação 0-2
Sep 14 Blumenau vs Carlos Re… 2-2
Sep 07 Blumenau vs Joinville 2-0
Aug 17 Blumenau vs Camboriú 1-2
Aug 09 Blumenau vs Camboriú 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Blumenau in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 07, 2025 Blumenau 2 - 0 Joinville Copa Santa Cat…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Joinville to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Joinville Power 0
Blumenau Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.