AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One May 03, 2024

Barnsley

Home
VS
18:30

Bolton

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Barnsley Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Bolton Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.93 - 1.58
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.6
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Barnsley Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Bolton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Barnsley Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Barnsley vs Bolton 2-2
Feb 03 Barnsley vs Bolton 1-1
May 19 Barnsley vs Bolton 1-0
May 13 Barnsley vs Bolton 1-1
Jan 02 Barnsley vs Bolton 0-3
Bolton Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Bolton vs Fleetwood… 3-0
Apr 27 Bolton vs Peterboro… 3-3
Apr 27 Bolton vs Wolves 2-1
Apr 27 Bolton vs Peterboro… 3-3
Apr 27 Bolton vs Wolves 2-1
Apr 20 Bolton vs Port Vale 2-0
Apr 20 Bolton vs Reading FC 3-2
Apr 20 Bolton vs Brentford 1-5
Apr 20 Bolton vs Port Vale 2-0
Apr 16 Bolton vs Shrewsbury 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bolton struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 05, 2024 Barnsley 2 - 2 Bolton League One
Feb 03, 2024 Bolton 1 - 1 Barnsley League One
May 19, 2023 Barnsley 1 - 0 Bolton League One
May 13, 2023 Bolton 1 - 1 Barnsley League One
Jan 02, 2023 Barnsley 0 - 3 Bolton League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bolton to win (57% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 57% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Barnsley Power 0
Bolton Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Barnsley Position

-11

Position Gap

3

Bolton Position
Home Win Rate: 54%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.