AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League Two May 07, 2024

Crawley Town

Home
VS
18:30

Milton Keynes Dons

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Crawley Town Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Milton Keynes Dons Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-3
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 4.11 - 3.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 3.5
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Crawley Town Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Milton Keynes Dons Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-3 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-3 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 3-1 (2%) 1-3 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 96%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Crawley Town Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Crawley T… vs Grimsby 2-0
Apr 27 Crawley T… vs Grimsby 2-0
Apr 20 Crawley T… vs Southampt… 2-2
Apr 20 Crawley T… vs Southampt… 2-2
Apr 16 Crawley T… vs Barrow 1-1
Apr 16 Crawley T… vs Barrow 1-1
Apr 13 Crawley T… vs Mancheste… 2-3
Apr 13 Crawley T… vs Mancheste… 2-3
Apr 09 Crawley T… vs Wrexham 4-1
Apr 09 Crawley T… vs Wrexham 4-1
Milton Keynes Dons Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Milton Ke… vs Southampt… 4-4
Apr 27 Milton Ke… vs Southampt… 4-4
Apr 20 Milton Ke… vs Harrogate 3-5
Apr 20 Milton Ke… vs Harrogate 3-5
Apr 13 Milton Ke… vs Mansfield… 1-4
Apr 13 Milton Ke… vs Mansfield… 1-4
Apr 06 Milton Ke… vs Forest Gr… 0-2
Apr 01 Milton Ke… vs Newport C… 3-3
Apr 01 Milton Ke… vs Newport C… 3-3
Mar 29 Milton Ke… vs Walsall 5-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 29, 2023 Milton Keynes Dons 2 - 0 Crawley Town Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Crawley Town Power 30
Milton Keynes Dons Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

20

Crawley Town Position

-14

Position Gap

6

Milton Keynes Dons Position
Home Win Rate: 29%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.